Desktop sales and graphics card sales are two totally different things that should definitely not be lumped together here.
I did some digging and found the data that they're basing this on:
http://www.jonpeddie.com/publications/market_watch/
http://www.jonpeddie.com/publications/pc_gaming_hardware_market_report/
http://www.jonpeddie.com/publications/console-gaming-hardware-market-study/
The data shows a gradual decline in graphics card sales and desktop sales over the last few years. And an increase in console sales. However it also shows that PC gamers are spending more money on both video games and graphics cards (buying more expensive models). Which is probably the main reason for the growing revenue figures that the article points to.
But I'm not sure why you would bring up graphics card sales since the guys question was about the desktop market. Particularly emphasizing how it was doing in competition against the mobile market. And you answered:
DatKid20 Wrote:Also the desktop industry is growing as always.
Which implies that the desktop market is growing. When in fact it is in a fairly rapid decline and has been for quite some time. Please be more careful with your choice of words in the future.
DatKid20 Wrote:Also I was talking about a Tablet vs a Windows 8.1 Laptop.
Then I must ask the obvious follow up question. Why do you want to compare the two?
christoph86 Wrote:I don't know the current limitation on SoCs, but do they become the norm?
I'm not fully sure what you're asking here so I'll try to answer all possible interpretations. SoCs used in mobile devices have significant limits for size and power consumption. SoC design in general is more limiting on system transistor count then more traditional designs. SoC designs will become the norm for all cpus including those used in desktops. In fact we're almost at that point already. Desktops themselves will likely become less popular but certainly aren't going anywhere.
christoph86 Wrote:You see the big leap in efficiency with the new NVIDIA Maxwell graphics cards, obviously that is the way most cards will be going, they have to.
What "way" are you referring to? How does maxwells improvements in energy efficiency relate to mobile SoCs?
christoph86 Wrote:I see Android becoming a very powerful/mainstream system moving forward.
It already is. However there are a lot of things that it will never be able to do as well as windows/mac osx/linux/unix can unless they completely remove everything that makes it great for mobile platforms. Which they obviously won't do.
christoph86 Wrote:In fact, I see desktops becoming a very niche market in the future. Is this a correct assumption?
No. Desktops are dramatically better in every way except portability. For some tasks they are so much better that they are basically a requirement in the corresponding industry. Desktops will always be the platform of choice for creating content.
Try doing some of the following common tasks on mobile platforms:
-typing a long word document
-creating a powerpoint
-creating spreadsheets
-editing images in advanced ways (photoshop/gimp stuff)
-editing music/audio in advanced ways
-editing videos in advanced ways
-3D modeling
-3D rendering
-programming
-and so on, basically any kind of content creation
They can be done. But with a massive drop in productivity and a very frustrating experience.
As for content consumption you can do it fairly well on mobile platforms but never anywhere near as well as a desktop. Some examples:
-playing advanced/modern video games (bigger screens, better audio, better input, more titles, better graphics, the list goes on and on for this one)
-watching a movie (bigger screens and better audio)
-looking at images (bigger screens with more comfortable viewing angles)
-reading (bigger screens with more comfortable viewing angles)
-listening to stuff (much better audio equipment available)
Mobile devices will allow you to do these things when you don't have a desktop around because you're on the go. But it won't allow you to do them as well as a desktop, so I would still recommend having one.
christoph86 Wrote:I assume big companies will move to 5-10 watt devices for most things they can in the near future.
That depends on what you're doing with it. Nobody is going to use a 10 watt device to do video editing for example, that's just stupid. Some desktops might be replaced with smaller/cheaper/lower power computers but they'll likely still be desktops running windows.
christoph86 Wrote:But from a gaming aspect, how good can some games graphically get on these devices? I assume pretty good, but would like your thoughts.
Depends on your definition of "pretty good". Desktops will always be about a decade ahead of phones for example. Phones still have a ways to go to catch up to 360/ps3 level graphics, which would still be considered absolutely horrid by desktop gaming standards. Tablets are generally around 8 years behind. Nettops/netbooks 6-8 years. Laptops 3-5 years. Desktops will always dominate the PC gaming market for a variety of reasons.